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In the financial markets, we often hear stories of young people accumulating wealth at an astonishing rate. However, when we delve deeper into these success cases, we often find that the surface trading concepts may not be the true reason for their high returns.
In fact, the success of trading often stems from some ineffable factors. Even if two traders employ similar strategies and logic, their profitability may vary significantly. This discrepancy may arise from unique insights into the market or subtle judgments made when selecting trading targets.
For example, using a long-term holding strategy, the results of investing in Bitcoin and PetroChina can be vastly different. Similarly, applying grid trading and trend following to the same asset can often yield very different results. Even when using exactly the same strategy, different parameter settings and position ratios can lead to entirely different returns.
However, being overly focused on these superficial differences may lead to the trap of overfitting. From my observation, many successful traders often find it difficult to accurately describe the reasons for their success. Their advantages may stem from some subconscious judgments, rather than the trading logic they articulate. This also explains why others find it hard to replicate their success.
Therefore, I have always emphasized that every trader should deeply analyze the sources of their profits and risk factors. Through long-term observation and analysis, I have found that the success of many traders is often not closely related to the trading logic they claim.
This also explains why many people, even after learning from numerous successful traders' experiences, still find it difficult to formulate a profitable strategy. The true secret to trading success often lies in those hard-to-express experiences and intuitions, rather than in simple strategy replication.
For those aspiring to succeed in the financial markets, the key lies in cultivating one's own insight and developing a deep understanding of the market, rather than blindly following the strategies of others. Only in this way can one find their own path to success in the rapidly changing market.