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Who is crazy selling US bonds? Japan sold $61.9 billion in Q3, the highest in history, and China has reduced holdings for three consecutive months... Has the bottom been reached?
According to data released by the U.S. Treasury Department on November 18, China and Japan, which hold the most U.S. debt outside the United States, both sold U.S. bonds in September, totaling more than $113 billion. (Synopsis: U.S. debt is rising? Damo Report: The "10-year U.S. Treasury Intrerest Rate" is expected to fall to 3.75% in mid-2025) (Background supplement: Trump wins the US election and wants a big dump? Analysts: both long and short factors, uncertainty deepens) The U.S. Treasury Department released data on November 18 showing that in addition to the United States, China and Japan, which hold the most U.S. debt, both sold U.S. bonds in September. Among them, Japan completed the largest U.S. bond sale in the country's history, amounting to $61.9 billion; China, on the other hand, dumped $51.3 billion, the second-largest U.S. bond sale in its history. The data also shows that the price of US Treasury bonds has continued to fall after reaching its peak in recent months in mid-September. The number of U.S. Holdings in Japan has fallen from $1.129 trillion in August to $1.123 trillion in September, while China's has fallen to $772 billion. But some analysts expect that China and Japan may continue to sell more U.S. debt due to the new economic policies that Trump may bring. U.S. bond prices have shown a downward trend after the election, and the Intrerest Rate is currently rising to 4.38% Other reasons why U.S. bond prices can't go up Since the Fed started to cut interest rates in September, U.S. bond prices have not risen as expected, partly because U.S. bonds have risen ahead of schedule due to favorable expectations, experts analyze possible reasons include: The U.S. Treasury continues to issue debt to fill the government deficit (if Trump returns to the White House, the U.S. fiscal deficit may increase again) Fed Trying to shrink the balance sheet and eliminate a large amount of demand for Treasury bond purchases led to Recent economic data shows that the inflation effect is still glued Foreign holdings of U.S. bonds hit a record high in September However, although China and Japan continued to dump in September, Treasury data showed that in the context of the US Federal Reserve's monetary easing policy in September (interest rate cut by 2 yards), the size of foreign holdings of U.S. bonds rose for the fifth consecutive month in September, and also hit a record high of $8.673 trillion, up from 7.515 in the same period last year Trillion, up 15.4%, up $170 billion from August $8.503 trillion. Morgan Stanley: U.S. debt yield Intrerest rate is expected to fall to 3.75% In addition, according to the Wall Street Journal, Morgan Stanley recently pointed out in the 2025 Global Strategic Outlook report that it is expected that in 2025, the US 10-year Treasury bond yield Intrerest rate will fall to 3.75%, and it is expected to cut interest rates by 3 yards in the first half of 2025, although the expectation may be overly optimistic, but if the Fed will really do so, Perhaps a hint that U.S. Treasury prices are about to rise. The US 10-year yield is expected to fall to 3.75% by mid-2025 and just over 3.5% by the end of next year. The Fed is expected to cut rates by 75 basis points ($3) in the first half of 2025. Related reports Tether made a net profit of $2.5 billion on gold and U.S. bonds Q3! Total assets and equity both hit record highs U.S. small non-farm payrolls hit a new high in more than a year, U.S. bonds soared in the Intrerest Rate, and the Federal Reserve may suspend interest rate hikes in November? U.S. debt big dump! The 10-year Intrerest Rate soared 4.2% to break a three-month high, and the community cried: Buy Me Pig Again [Who is crazy to sell US debts? Japan sold $61.9 billion in Q3, the highest in history, China reduced its holdings for three consecutive months. Has the bottom arrived? This article was first published in BlockTempo "Dynamic Trend - The Most Influential Block Chain News Media".